We’re back with Part IV of the “Deep Dive” Series following the Wisconsin Football Team. So let’s get DEEP into the Analytics that can help us make sense of this Wisconsin Badgers Football Team through Game 5!
First, we’ll start with Tanner Mordecai…
Mordecai KPIs:
Air Yards/ATT x INT Rate:
Quadrant Ranking:
Bottom Right – Ballers (High Air Yards/ATT + Low INT Rate)
Bottom Left – Dink & Dunkers (Low Air Yards/ATT + Low INT Rate)
Top Right – “Gunslingers” (High Air Yards/ATT + High INT Rate)
Top Left – POOR BALL SECURITY (Low Air Yards/ATT + High INT Rate)
Mordecai = Red Dot is now just slightly into the POOR BALL SECURITY Quadrant. His 3rd clean INT outing came on Saturday.
Air Yards/ATT x On-TGT %:
Quadrant Ranking:
Top Right – “Ballers” (High Air Yards/ATT + High On-TGT %)
Top Left – “Dink & Dunkers” (Low Air Yards/ATT + High On-TGT %)
Bottom Right – “Gunslingers” (High Air Yards/ATT + Low On-TGT %)
Bottom Left – “POOR BALL SECURITY” (Low Air Yards/ATT + Low On-TGT %)
Mordecai = Red Dot is again in the Dink & Dunkers Quadrant. Overall, his On-TGT % is nothing to be concerned with; he threw a lot of Passes right on the money!! As you’ll see, the issue for Wisconsin’s passing attack isn’t QB play!!
ATTs x Net Big Play %:
Quadrant Ranking:
Top Right – “Ballers” (High ATTs + High Net Big Play Rate)
Top Left – “Assassins” (Low ATTS + High Net Big Play Rate)
Bottom Right – “Game Managers” (High ATTs + Low Net Big Play Rate)
Bottom Left – POOR BALL SECURITY (Low ATTS + Net Big Play Rate)
Mordecai = Red Dot in “Gunslinger” Quadrant. But with 1 TDs and 0 INTs on Saturday, Mordecai improved his standing here. It won’t take much to get into the “Ballers” Quadrant, he’d already be there if not for numerous potential TD drops from his WR group!!
We’ll continue to track these three Metrics as the season moves on and stack him up against other QBs to judge where he’s at!! If you bring a subjective view of how things have impacted him from a WR Performance standpoint, you can begin to have some hope about our Passing Attack. These are proven and highly rated players!!
But here’s a more objective view of how his WR’s haven’t been holding their end of the bargain…Below is Completion % (COMP %) MINUS his On-TGT %. Essentially this is showing how much WR “HELP” or lack thereof he’s getting.
Mordecai is sitting with a -5.03% drop in COMP % to his On-TGT. Now this doesn’t look to be outside the norm for College QBs, or at-least in 2023. But those -5.03% have some big implications for his BIG PLAY RATE. It also has a significant impact when you take into account where those Gaps to COMP % come from:
It’s mostly on Deep Passes!!!
There’s also a gap in WR Performance when looking at what they do AFTER the catch:
I’ve said I’m not too concerned with our Passing Game, and that feeling is mostly because of how good these WRs have proven to be. I’m talking about Skyler Bell and Bryson Green, the two who have up until this point haven’t had the success we’d all that they would have.
Hopefully, that changes soon…
UW Pass Rush:
Keep reading with a 7-day free trial
Subscribe to Badgernotes to keep reading this post and get 7 days of free access to the full post archives.